Older forecasts

Older forecasts

I originally developed the Eurovision Forecast model in 2012 and refined it in subsequent years. Although the model successfully predicted the winner (Sweden) in 2012, it was unsuccessful in 2013 and 2014, predicting Azerbaijan over Denmark, and Sweden over Austria.

I originally described the model on my blog. Although that blog no longer exists, I’ve transfered over the relevant posts. Please let me know about any broken links, etc.